FTX Shortfall Claims: Customers Could Recover Up to 90% of Assets by Mid-2024

In a stunning turn of events for those affected by the FTX collapse, a proposed settlement suggests that customers of the bankrupt crypto exchanges FTX and FTX.US might just see a substantial return of their assets. Could it be true? Are we really looking at a potential recovery of over 90% of assets? Let’s dive into the details of this developing story and understand what these ‘shortfall claims’ really mean for FTX users.

What’s Happening with FTX and Customer Asset Recovery?

After months of uncertainty following the dramatic FTX bankruptcy, there’s finally a glimmer of hope. FTX debtors announced a significant breakthrough on October 17th, revealing a proposed settlement plan that aims to resolve customer property disputes. This news comes after extensive discussions with key stakeholders, including the unsecured creditors’ committee and customer representatives.

This “major milestone,” as FTX debtors tweeted, hinges on a proposed settlement filed with the U.S. bankruptcy court in Delaware on October 16th. While still pending court approval (with an official filing expected by December 16th), the outline of the plan is now public.

Understanding the ‘Shortfall Claim’: Your Potential Recovery

Central to this amended plan is the concept of a “shortfall claim.” Essentially, FTX debtors are estimating that customers of both FTX.com and FTX.US could collectively recover a significant portion – around 90% – of the distributable assets. This is broken down into:

• FTX.com Shortfall Claim: Estimated at approximately $8.9 billion.
• FTX.US Shortfall Claim: Estimated at around $166 million.

If the bankruptcy court gives its nod of approval, FTX anticipates that these funds could start being disbursed as early as the end of the second quarter of 2024. This timeline offers a tangible horizon for those who have been waiting for resolution.

John J. Ray III, the CEO and Chief Restructuring Officer of FTX, expressed his satisfaction with the settlement terms, stating:

“Together, starting in the most challenging financial disaster I have seen, the debtors and their creditors have created enormous value from a situation that easily could have been a near-total loss for customers.”

How are Assets Being Divided?

The amended plan proposes a division of assets into three distinct pools:

1. Assets segregated for FTX.com customers.
2. Assets segregated for U.S. customers.
3. A general pool of other assets.

It’s important to note that the shortfall claim specifically applies to the first two groups – FTX.com and FTX.US customers.

While this is encouraging news, FTX debtors have cautioned that full repayment is still not anticipated for customers of either exchange. Furthermore, it’s expected that FTX.com customers will likely experience a greater percentage of losses compared to FTX.US users.

What About Customer Clawbacks? Important Details to Note

There’s a crucial aspect of the proposed plan concerning customer withdrawals made shortly before the bankruptcy. Here’s what you need to know about potential ‘clawbacks’:

• Withdrawals over $250,000: Customers who withdrew amounts exceeding $250,000 within the nine days preceding the bankruptcy may see their claim reduced by 15% of the withdrawn amount.
• Withdrawals under $250,000: Claims under this threshold are generally not subject to reduction.

FTX debtors have clarified that “eligible customers” with preference settlement amounts under $250,000 during that nine-day window can accept the settlement without claim reduction.

However, the amended plan also includes provisions to potentially exclude certain individuals from the settlement, such as insiders, affiliates, and customers who might have had prior knowledge of the financial irregularities at FTX.

The Bigger Picture: FTX, SBF, and the Ongoing Trial

This positive development in asset recovery unfolds against the backdrop of the ongoing fraud trial of former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). SBF is currently two weeks into his trial, facing serious charges related to his role in FTX’s dramatic collapse in November of last year.

While the legal proceedings against SBF continue, this proposed settlement offers a ray of hope for FTX customers, suggesting a path toward recovering a significant portion of their lost funds. The coming months will be crucial as the court reviews and potentially approves this plan, paving the way for anticipated disbursements in 2024.